Publications & Resources

Estimating the Likelihood of False-Positive and False-Negative Decisions in Mastery Testing: An Empirical Bayes Approach

Dec 1977

Rand Wilcox

False-positive and false negative decisions are the fundamental errors committed with a mastery test; yet the estimation of the likelihood of committing these errors has not been investigated. Accordingly, two methods of estimating the likelihood of committing these errors are described and then investigated using Monte Carlo techniques. Conditions for obtaining accurate estimates are noted.

Wilcox, R. (1977). Estimating the likelihood of false-positive and false-negative decisions in mastery testing: An empirical Bayes approach (CSE Report 100). Los Angeles: University of California, Los Angeles, Center for the Study of Evaluation.